Living fossils are evolving

Charles Darwin coined the term living fossil in On the Origin of Species. He didn’t use it the same way that it has come to be used. He suggested that living fossils are modern species that can be used to link to groups in the same way that fossils can. One of the examples he gave was the platypus, which lactates and lays eggs, which is evidence that mammals and reptiles share a common ancestor. I don't think he meant it to mean an unchanged relict, as some people interpret his words.

Today, a living fossil is a species that retains many features of their fossil ancestor so that it is recognisably closely related. There are some stunning examples of this, such as orb-weaving spiders. In 2011 a 165 million year old spider fossil was described by Seldon et al., which shared so many features with modern Nephila spiders that it was placed within the same genus. Interestingly, I have never heard of web building spiders being referred to as living fossils despite there being amazing conservation of traits in many groups.

The orb-weaving spiders Nephila clavipes (left) and N. jurassica (right) are separated by 165 million years, but placed within the same genus (image of N. clavipes from Wikipedia and N. jurassica from Seldon et al. 2011).

Unfortunately, living fossil has become synonymous with a species, or group of species, displaying no evolutionary change or very slow change. This is completely wrong. Although the conservation of morphology in Nephila is remarkable, there are more than 150 known species in the genus. Clearly there has been evolutionary diversification within the group. Indeed, whenever living fossils are examined in more than superficial detail it becomes difficult to see them as organisms that evolution forgot.

Horseshoe crabs are one of the most iconic living fossils. There are four living species in three genera. They are placed within the subphylum chelicerata, which makes them more closely related to spiders and scorpions than they are to true crabs, which are placed within the subphylum crustacea. Although there are fewer species of horseshoe crabs than Nephila, that fact that there are four species that are all different from fossil species is a strong indication that evolution hasn't stopped for them.

The Atlantic horseshoe crab, Limulus polyphemus, mating (photo Wikipedia)

The general shape of modern horseshoe crabs is strikingly similar to the fossils that date from about 450 million years ago. Close examination, though, shows that parts of their shape, their legs in particular, have changed over time. Briggs et al. 2012 looked at a fossil horseshoe crab from 425 million years ago, which is relatively early in their evolution. They found that modern horseshoe crabs are missing an entire set of limbs that were present in their ancestors.

All modern chelicerates, including living horseshoe crabs, have unbranched limbs; each limb is a single series of segments. Most crustaceans have limbs that branch at the base into two series of segments. Branched limbs, like those in crustaceans, are the ancestral condition and unbranched limbs are thought to have evolved several times among the arthropods. Indeed, Briggs et al. found that the fossil horseshoe crab had branched limbs, which have been lost in their descendents. 

Like horseshoe crabs, tadpole shrimp have a broad semi-circular carapace protecting their heads and are considered living fossils. There are 11 recognised species in two genera, Lepidurus and Triops. The two genera probably diverged about 180 million years ago, but there are fossil tadpole shrimp dating from about 250 million years ago. That's not as long as the really iconic living fossils, like horseshoe crabs and the coelacanths, but it is still an impressive amount of time to retain enough features to be easily recognised as related.

The tadpole shrimp, Lepidurus apus (photo Wikipedia)

The problem with relying on features that preserve in the fossil record is that it underestimates the actual amount of evolutionary change because generally only hard parts are preserved. A recent study of tadpole shrimp highlights this point. Mathers et al. 2013 used genetic analyses to construct the evolutionary relationships among the 11 species of tadpole shrimp. They found that there are actually 38 species and that these species arose relatively recently. This shows that rather than evolutionary stasis, there is likely to be high species turnover in the group.

There are many reasons why some features may be conserved over long periods of time. None of these have to do with natural selection taking a break. In fact, if natural selection did cease we should expect to see features wander under random genetic drift, as has been hypothesised for eyes in cave dwelling animals. Conserved features are much more likely to be the result of developmental constraints or stabilising selection.

References:

Briggs, D., Siveter, D., Siveter, D., Sutton, M., Garwood, R., & Legg, D. (2012). Silurian horseshoe crab illuminates the evolution of arthropod limbs Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109 (39), 15702-15705 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1205875109 

Mathers, T., Hammond, R., Jenner, R., Hänfling, B., & Gómez, A. (2013). Multiple global radiations in tadpole shrimps challenge the concept of ‘living fossils’ PeerJ, 1 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.62

Selden, P., Shih, C., & Ren, D. (2011). A golden orb-weaver spider (Araneae: Nephilidae: Nephila) from the Middle Jurassic of China Biology Letters, 7 (5), 775-778 DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2011.0228

The aquatic ape hypothesis is still wrong

An article in the Guardian says that at a conference next week, David Attenborough will voice his support for the aquatic ape hypothesis. I grew up watching Attenborough documentaries. I am a huge fan and would credit him with helping to ferment my interest in biology. But, I am no fan of the aquatic ape hypothesis because it  is adaptationist and fails to provide parsimonious explanation for human evolution.

The aquatic ape hypothesis tries to force large number of human traits together under one umbrella explanation, that our ancestors had a close association with water. But no time period in the history of our evolution is specified and the fossil record shows that the traits claimed to have evolved in association with water appeared at widely different times. Without good fossil evidence demonstrating a strong association with water the hypothesis is dead... in the water.

The hypothesis is driving the evidence presented, not the other way around as it should be in science. A mish-mash of highly derived and rudimentary adaptations to water are used as evidence. Few of these are consistently associated with aquatic animals, such as hairlessness, which is present in several terrestrial mammals and absent in the majority of aquatic mammals. There are also a number of features that we humans have that are inconsistent with aquatic ancestry, such as internal testicles. 

I am at a loss to explain how the aquatic ape hypothesis keeps getting coverage in popular press given how weak it is as an explanation. I get that human evolution is interesting, but it is such a bad explanation on the basis of both evidence and the methodology of its proponents. It's the phlogiston of explanations for the evolution of human traits. Fortunately, the recent coverage has spawned some well deserved ridicule, which has had a strong response on Twitter.

Cooperative hunting between species

Cooperative hunting among individuals of the same species is common. But, cooperative hunting between different species is incredibly rare. Ed Yong has an interesting story on cooperative hunting between moray eels and grouper. Although this behaviour was first documented in 2006, there is a new study that describes a previously undocumented behaviour that the grouper uses to recruit its hunting partners.

Why fund science research?

It's an easy question to answer. Science is economically and culturally important. 

As Phil Plait discusses on Bad Astronomy, Stephen Moore of the Wall Street Journal says that we shouldn't fund basic research because it is innovation in industry that brings the economic returns. That is nonsense. Industry innovation would come to a shuddering halt without basic research. It's curiosity-driven research that provides the fuel that industry uses to produce new products.

Funding science provides more than a return on investment. It's also about understanding the natural world. The Universe is a fascinating place and we humans (with exceptions like Stephen Moore) are deeply interested in finding out about it. To me, the accumulation of knowledge should be viewed as the primary goal of science. Commercialisation of that knowledge is just a welcome side effect.

The resilience of coral reefs

Many people are justifiably concerned with the potential impacts of climate change and ocean acidification on coral reefs. But, coral reefs have been declining for at least the last 25 years and probably much longer, overwhelmingly due to threats that are unrelated to climate change. If we do not address these impacts we will continue to lose coral cover and reefs will be more vulnerable to climate change and ocean acidification.

A coral outcrop on the Great Barrier Reef (photo Wikipedia)

A new paper serves as an illustration of how resilient coral reefs are to climate impacts when they are isolated from other anthropogenic impacts, such as overfishing and agricultural runoff. James Gilmour and other researchers from the Australian Institute of Marine Science and some from the Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies followed the recovery of the Scott Reef system after a catastrophic bleaching event in 1998 that reduced coral cover from 50% to 10%. There was great concern for the reef system because it was isolated from other reefs that could supply coral larvae to fuel recovery.

The Scott Reef system. The crescent shaped reef at the bottom is Scott Reef South, the small reef above the left arm of the crescent is Scott Reef and the pear shaped reef is Scott Reef North (photo Wikipedia).

It turns out that, on balance, the isolation was a good thing. The supply of coral larvae reaching the reef was less than 6% of what it was prior to the bleaching event for six years. But, the reef was also isolated from chronic anthropogenic pressures, particularly overfishing. The number of herbivorous fish was already high at the time of the bleaching and jumped afterwards. As coral cover increased the numbers of herbivorous fish declined back to what they were prior to the bleaching.

The daisy parrotfish, Chlorurus sordidus, is an important herbivore on coral reefs (photo Dennis Polack, EOL).

The herbivorous fish kept seaweed and other organisms that compete with coral from taking over. Remnant corals that survived the bleaching were able to grow quickly and the small numbers of coral larvae reaching the reef had unexpectedly high survival. The fast growth of existing coral drove the initial recovery of the reef. Once young corals became established and began reproducing the supply of larvae increased and the recovery of coral cover accelerated.

Ten years after the bleaching event the supply of coral larvae had returned to the levels seen before the bleaching. Two years later the amount of coral cover and community structure on the reef had largely been restored. The rate of recovery is made more remarkable by the occurrence of a second more moderate bleaching event, two cyclones and a disease outbreak.

The study highlights just how resilient coral reefs can be to the effects of climate change and other disturbances if chronic anthropogenic stress is low. Overfishing, sedimentation and pollution are causing severe declines in coral cover right now. If we can control these threats, coral reefs might be able to survive in a warmer, more acidic ocean.

Reference:

Gilmour, J., Smith, L., Heyward, A., Baird, A., & Pratchett, M. (2013). Recovery of an Isolated Coral Reef System Following Severe Disturbance Science, 340 (6128), 69-71 DOI: 10.1126/science.1232310

In the cave of the blind, the no-eyed crab is king

Cave dwelling creatures are often blind. The prevailing view is that, in such species, mutations in the visual system have little or no effect on fitness and vision is lost as these mutations gradually accumulate. There are several other types of characters that we can be reasonably confident are adaptations to life in caves, such as elaboration of structures for touch or smell. However, it is often hard identify which population cave adapted species are descended from and, therefore, how long ago they invaded caves. Without this information it has been hard to test ideas about the evolution of traits associated with life in the dark.

A cave form of the fish, Astyanax mexicanus, which is eyeless and unpigmented, traits typical in caves. It is a commonly used model species in studies of adaptation to cave environments (photo Wikimedia Commons).

Sebastian Klaus and colleagues from the National University of Singapore and Goethe University examined five species of freshwater crab in the genus Sundathelphusa, which occur on Bohol Island in the Philippines. Four species are only found in caves and the other has established several populations in caves. The repeated invasion of caves by the crabs has led to varying degrees of adaptation to life in the dark within the group. 

Freshwater crabs in the genus Sundathelphusa from Bohol Island. Thy are arranged from least cave adapted (top) to most cave adapted (bottom). From top to bottom the species are Sundathelphusa boex, S. vedeniki, S. urichi, S. sottoae and S. cavernicola (from Klaus et al. 2013).

The team used genetic data to estimate the time at which each species and population last shared a common ancestor. They then compared several features of cave-adapted crabs with their closest terrestrial relatives. Reductions in the visual system were just as pronounced as changes in cave-adapted features, indicating that evolution occurs at similar rates. The authors argue that this is a clear sign that eye loss is under directional selection because changes should appear more slowly if they are a result of selectively neutral mutations. 

They don’t speculate at all about what might favour eye-loss in the Bohol crabs, but hint in the introduction that it could be due to trade-offs between vision and other sensory systems. Trade-offs occur where increasing one aspect of fitness necessarily requires the reduction of fitness in another. If eyes are energetically costly to build and maintain then retaining functional eyes might prevent greater investment in other senses. Trade-offs are ubiquitous in biology and have been implicated in the loss of eyes in other cave dwelling species.

While I was doing research on this study I came across several creationist websites that argue cave adapted creatures are strong evidence that evolution is false because a trait is lost. According to them this shows evolution progressing in the wrong direction to what is predicted. They argue that evolution should progress towards more information and greater complexity. This is incorrect and shows, yet again, that creationists typically have a poor understanding of evolutionary theory.

The 'logic' of this argument is similar to the idea of a "Great Chain of Being", which pervaded early thinking about biology. This type of thinking is where we get several antiquated, but persistent terms, such as "missing link" and "highly evolved". It continues to dog evolution in the way that evolutionary information is often presented, such as the placement of organisms more closely related to us at the right or top of phylogenetic trees and at the end of textbooks.

The phylogeny of primates with humans at the top and less related groups at the bottom (from Wikipedia).

Linear descent was never part of Darwin's theory, nor was an increase in information ever a necessary assumption on which evolutionary theory rests. When you look at an evolutionary tree (like the primate tree above), all of the living species at the branch tips have an equally long evolutionary history. They are not descended from each other, they are descended from a common ancestor. You could say that they are equally evolved.

The first evolutionary tree drawn by Darwin over 20 years before the publication of On the Origin of Species.

Evolution doesn't prevent information from increasing, but contrary to the creationist claims it does predict that there will be strong limits on it. Both single trait and multi-trait trade-offs are thought to prevent organisms from becoming perfectly adapted. Single trait trade-offs occur where elaboration of a structure increases fitness in one environment, but reduces it in others. Multi-trait trade-offs occur where two or more structures are dependent on a shared finite resource.

Blind crabs are not evolving in the wrong direction. There is no wrong direction, they're just evolving under the constraint of trade-offs. Eye reduction and loss of pigmentation are not the only evolutionary changes that are occurring either. Other traits are becoming more elaborated, such as the length of their legs and the hairs on their claws, suggesting a multi-trait trade-off. This result is not only consistent with evolutionary theory, but expected.

An abbreviated version of this post is published on the Australasian Evolution Society website in the Research Highlights section.

Reference

Klaus, S., Mendoza, J., Liew, J., Plath, M., Meier, R., & Yeo, D. (2013). Rapid evolution of troglomorphic characters suggests selection rather than neutral mutation as a driver of eye reduction in cave crabs Biology Letters, 9 (2), 20121098-20121098 DOI: 10.1098/rsbl.2012.1098

Research Highlights from the Australasian Evolution Society

I have been asked by the Australasian Evolution Society to provide some 'Research Highlights' for their newly launched website. The Research Highlights promote interesting recent research by evolutionary biologists in Australasia. To get more diversity in the types of research covered there will be two or three others writing too. My stories will go up every few weeks and I will endeavor to publish them here as well, probably with some additional comments. My first piece went up a few weeks ago and I've submitted my second, which should go up shortly. I'll post here as soon as it is.

My favourite science books

I've been talking to a few people recently about good science books. My favorite books that deal with similar topics to this blog are in descending order:

Mapping the deep - Robert Kunzig

The World without us - Alan Weisman

The wavewatcher's companion - Gavin Pretor-Pinney

Trilobite - Richard Fortey

At the water's edge - Carl Zimmer

Books outside the topic area of this blog that I found to be excellent are:

The demon-haunted world - Carl Sagan
The elegant universe - Brian Breene
Chaos - James Gleick

Neil Shubin's "Your inner fish" is sitting on my bookshelf just waiting to be read. I hear it is very good and will probably make it onto my list. Several books by Dawkins and Gould are also among my favorites, but I liked them less than the ones above. The ancestor's tale (Dawkins) and Wonderful life (Gould) are probably the best I've read of their books.

China's thirst for development

China is noted for its rapid development often at severe cost to the environment. The Australian newspaper reports that more than half of the rivers in China are missing. In the 1990s there were over 50,000 rivers on maps of China, but in a recent national water census surveyors were only able to locate 22,909 of them. Destruction of the environment due to rapid development and the unsustainable use of underground water supplies are thought to be among the main culprits. The government though, is blaming climate change and cartographers mistakes for the missing rivers.

Are there really plenty of fish in the sea?

We started trying to manage fisheries using science-based principles more than 150 years ago. Today, despite great improvements, we are still struggling to manage fisheries well. Perhaps the greatest missing piece in our understanding is an ability to accurately link the number of spawning adult fish with the number of their offspring that survive to replenish the population. Recognition that individual differences play a role in the dynamics of natural populations promises to greatly improve fisheries management.

A classic example of our inability to effectively manage harvested fish populations is the collapse of the northwest Atlantic cod fishery. Despite being managed using best practices, in 1992 the number of cod had collapsed to less than 1% of the number present in 1977. A moratorium was declared to allow the fishery to recover. It was predicted to rebound within a decade, but twenty years on and cod stocks are still at less than 5% of their previous levels and some authorities suggest the fishery may never fully recover.

An Atlantic cod, Gadus morhua (photo Wikipedia).

Most fishes are highly fecund, releasing tens to hundreds of thousands or even millions of eggs. Mortality during the early life of fish is incredibly high, often with fewer than one in a thousand surviving the first few days. But, because of the shear number of offspring, small changes in the mortality rate can lead to enormous differences in the number of fish that survive to replenish the population. The great difficulty has been to determine which factors contribute to changes in mortality rate.

Predation and starvation are the two greatest sources of mortality for fish eggs and larvae. Neither of these is random. Bigger, better provisioned eggs are more likely to produce larvae that survive the larval period and replenish the adult population. There are also characteristics of the parents that effect the survival of their offspring, such as when and where they choose to spawn, and how big or old they are.

Predators of fish eggs and larvae are numerous. Jellyfish, like Aurelia aurita, are among them (photo Wikipedia).

Early hypotheses about what regulated survival in the larval period focused on starvation. Hjort's 'critical period' hypothesis (1914) proposed that food resources must be present when larval fish were switching from using their yolk reserves to feeding. Cushing's 'match-mismatch' hypothesis (1975, 1990) recognised that as larvae grow they need progressively larger prey and timing of prey requirement needs to be a match with the timing of prey availability.

Good evidence to support these hypotheses has only emerged recently, with the arrival of technology that can provide long-term measurements over large spatial scales. Platt et al. (2003) combined data from remote-sensing satellites with long-term population surveys of haddock, Melanogrammus aeglefinus. Their data showed that when the peak of spawning occurred after the peak in the spring plankton bloom, survival of larval haddock was much higher.

A haddock, Melanogrammus aeglefinus (photo Wikipedia).

Beaugrand et al. (2003) used data from continuous plankton sampling devices that are opportunistically attached to merchant ships. The devices gave them not only plankton abundance data, but allowed them to measure the size of prey species. Data on cod, Gadus morhua, were obtained from two largely overlapping population surveys. Like Platt et al., they found that the timing of the plankton bloom was important for larval survival, but they also found that the abundance and average size of prey species were important too.

Predation was recognised early on as an important factor influencing the survival of fish larvae. However, research into its effects on fish populations didn't begin in earnest until the 1970's. The research showed that bigger, faster growing larvae were more likely to survive that larval period. Several, subtly different mechanisms were proposed to explain this pattern and are often combined into the 'growth-predation' hypothesis. 

Testing the growth-predation hypothesis in the wild has proved tricky. But, fish have structures in their ears called otoliths that lay down growth rings a bit like the growth rings in a tree. Because the growth rings in otoliths are laid down daily in many fish species they can be used as proxy measurements of size and growth. Several studies have used otoliths to calculate size and growth rates and have universally supported the growth-predation hypothesis (e.g. Hare & Cowen 1997, Meekan et al. 2006).

The otolith of a black rockfish, Sebastes melanops, showing the light and dark bands of yearly growth increments. Smaller daily increments are visible under higher magnifications (photo Vanessa von Biela, USGS).

Mothers are one of the most important influences on the size and growth rate of larval fish, particularly early in life when mortality is highest. The time that mothers spawn determines the match between hatching and the availability of food resources. The amount that mothers invest in their offspring also influences their survival. Bigger eggs typically hatch into bigger larvae that grow faster and are more resistant to starvation Spawning time and investment can depend on the characteristics of mothers.

It's widely documented that larger, older mothers produce more offspring. Fecundity typically increases with the volume of the body cavity, which is roughly proportional to the cube of female length. Berkeley et al. (2004) also showed that larger, older female black rockfish, Sebastes melanops, invested more into their offspring, resulting in faster growing larvae that were more resistant to starvation. 

The blue rockfish, Sebastes mystinus, looks similar to the black rockfish (photo Wikipedia)

The Berkeley et al. paper became frequently cited to make the case that larger, older females needed better protection (e.g. Palumbi 2004, Birkeland & Dayton 2005). Harvesting large females might be much worse for the population because they produce more offspring that have a greater chance of surviving the larval period. Most fisheries remove the larger, older individuals, even when they are not targeted, which might explain why collapsed stocks struggle to recover faster than expected, like the Atlantic cod.

Marshall et al. (2010) argued that it was unjustified to conclude that larger females produce larvae that greater chance of survival. Decades of empirical and theoretical work has shown that the only time mothers should produce larger eggs is when they are releasing offspring into a poorer quality environment. Berkeley et al. tested larvae in common conditions and, therefore, they didn't expose larvae to the conditions that they would have experienced in the wild. 

Larger mothers might provide their offspring with a poorer quality environment in a number of ways. They might expose their offspring to greater competition with their siblings because they release far more larvae. Female size can predict the timing of spawning, and does in the black rockfish, which exposes larvae to different environmental conditions. Therefore, the larger offspring produced by larger mothers might have similar chances of surviving the larval period under natural conditions.

There is some evidence that the decades of theoretical and empirical work might not have captured the whole picture. If all larvae have roughly the same chance of making it through the larval period you would expect that the diversity of surviving larvae would be roughly proportional to the numbers released. Hedgecock et al (2007) estimated that in one cohort of the Pacific oyster, Ostrea edulis, only 10 - 20 individuals produced all of the surviving offspring.

Beldade et al. (2012) conducted a similar study to Hedgecock et al., but they were able to link surviving larvae with adults. They found that larger mothers contributed disproportionally more to the number of larvae that returned to the same population and that greater fecundity alone did not account for the disparity. It's not entirely compelling because it is possible that smaller mothers are producing larvae that preferentially disperse away. It is a tantalizing hint that larger, older mothers really matter more for population replenishment.

Most fisheries models currently do not account for the differences in the survival chances of larvae or the potential differences in the contribution of mothers to the next generation. They treat the survival of all larvae as equally likely, or ignore the larval period altogether. Such models are failing to produce accurate predictions of future stock numbers. Greater understanding of mortality processes in the larval period and the rise of individual based models promise to greatly improve the way fisheries are managed.

References:

Beaugrand, G., Brander, K., Alistair Lindley, J., Souissi, S., & Reid, P. (2003). Plankton effect on cod recruitment in the North Sea. Nature, 426 (6967), 661-664 DOI: 10.1038/nature02164

Beldade, R., Holbrook, S., Schmitt, R., Planes, S., Malone, D., & Bernardi, G. (2012). Larger female fish contribute disproportionately more to self-replenishment. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 279 (1736), 2116-2121 DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2011.2433

Berkeley, S., Chapman, C., & Sogard, S. (2004). Maternal age as a determininant of larval growth and survival in a marine fish, Sebastes melanops. Ecology, 85 (5), 1258-1264 DOI: 10.1890/03-0706

Cushing, D. (1969). The Regularity of the Spawning Season of Some Fishes. ICES Journal of Marine Science, 33 (1), 81-92 DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/33.1.81  

Cushing, D. H. (1990). Plankton production and year-class strength in fish populations - an update of the match mismatch hypothesis. Advances in Marine Biology, 26, 249-293 DOI: 10.1016/S0065-2881(08)60202-3  

Hare, J., & Cowen, R. (1997). Size, Growth, Development, and Survival of the Planktonic Larvae of Pomatomus saltatrix (Pisces: Pomatomidae). Ecology, 78 (8) DOI: 10.2307/2265903

Hedgecock, D., Launey, S., Pudovkin, A., Naciri, Y., Lapègue, S., & Bonhomme, F. (2006). Small effective number of parents (N-b) inferred for a naturally spawned cohort of juvenile European flat oysters Ostrea edulis. Marine Biology, 150 (6), 1173-1182 DOI: 10.1007/s00227-006-0441-y

Hjort, J (1914). Fluctuations in the great fisheries of northern Europe viewed in the light of biological research. Reun. Cons. Int. Explor. Mer, 20, 1-228

Marshall, D., Heppell, S., Munch, S., & Warner, R. (2010). The relationship between maternal phenotype and offspring quality: Do older mothers really produce the best offspring? Ecology, 91 (10), 2862-2873 DOI: 10.1890/09-0156.1   

Meekan, M., Vigliola, L., Hansen, A., Doherty, P., Halford, A., & Carleton, J. (2006). Bigger is better: size-selective mortality throughout the life history of a fast-growing clupeid, Spratelloides gracilis. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 317, 237-244 DOI: 10.3354/meps317237

Platt, T., Fuentes-Yaco, C., & Frank, K. (2003). Spring algal bloom and larval fish survival. Nature, 423 (6938), 398-399 DOI: 10.1038/423398b